Considering my first luxury watch purchase but don't want it to depreciate

I am currently torn between a few watches, I have a budget of about 3-4k. A few I am interested in are the Tudor BB58, GMT, Pelagos FXD. Omega Speedmaster Moonwatch (Might struggle to find one in budget), I also like Cartier and some Breitlings. Anyone have any advice as I cant seem to get a consistent answer out of the ADs I've spoken to

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Although it is not the brand you mentioned, but I recommend Grand Seiko (quartz model). I think it will be within your budget.

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I'm not an expert, but I suspect what you are looking for doesn't exist. Apart from a few models, from a few companies, every watch depreciates. 

Your best bet if resale is your concern, is to buy a used watch that has already had most of it's depreciation occur. 

You'd be even further ahead if you saved up for what you really want, and planned to keep it. Then resale doesn't matter, and you have the watch you actually want. 

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silverminion

Although it is not the brand you mentioned, but I recommend Grand Seiko (quartz model). I think it will be within your budget.

I do really like Grand Seiko and respect the craftsmanship, but I'm not really a fan of Quartz watches plus I dont like any of their designs enough to consider spending that. much money on one. Thanks for the comment though :)

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I think (I’m not an expert by any means) that from the ones you mentioned, the Speedmaster and a Cartier will hold their value the best. Speedys and Cartiers are both currently rising in pricing but have been very persistent over the years. I don’t think that Tudors will hold their value for very long, as I’d consider them more as  Hype-pieces due to the unavailability of Rolexes. But thats just my estimation.

Edit: The Speedmaster Reduced has gained a lot of value over the lost 12-24 months. They are still much cheaper than the Professional. If you like it, I’d take a look at one.

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Best way to lose the lowest amount is to buy it used (assuming it's not a Rolex?). I believe right now Breitling watches have the worst resale value of those watches you mentioned. This means buying a used one would have already lost most of it's value, therefore minimizing the amount you would lose on it.

EDIT:

$3345: https://www.rolexforums.com/showthread.php?t=831915

$5650: https://www.breitling.com/us-en/watches/avenger/avenger-chronograph-43/A13385101B1/

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The pricing and valuation of wristwatches is not so very different from cars...They begin to depreciate the moment you walk out of the boutique where you bought it.

It is only with certain models, from certain brands, (sorry to say, usually the most famous ones) that a watch becomes more valuable over the course of time....If you bought the 1st Ford Mustang, and only drove it on Sundays and kept it pristine with all its paperwork, you would have earned a pretty penny today. If you did the same with the wrong model Volkswagen, you would have lost money.

Even with PP, AP or Rolex, not every watch gains in value over time, some even lose value fast...

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The question is if you want to invest (later sell) or keep it and sell only by an emergency. 

If you want to invest and later sell at this very moment the Rolex seems to hold the value even if bought used. If you are lucky you can find some used Rolex which can later gain the value. In this case you have to ad some more money to your budget.

If you want to buy a watch you want to keep, just chose what you like best - you will be wearing the watch😜 And as unseenhero wrote buy something used (e.g. with papers and fresh service) what already depreciated. 

From my experience a used watch (from your list) which hold its value is Omega Speedmaster Moon Watch. Cartier not - I saw some Cartier which people bought for 6'500 and selling for 2'500 but depends on the model. 

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I bought the Omega Seamaster Aquaterra (220.10.41.21.03.001) and I am super satisfied. It is an excellent watch.

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What's wrong with a casio F-91W? ;) jks

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KristianG

I'm not an expert, but I suspect what you are looking for doesn't exist. Apart from a few models, from a few companies, every watch depreciates. 

Your best bet if resale is your concern, is to buy a used watch that has already had most of it's depreciation occur. 

You'd be even further ahead if you saved up for what you really want, and planned to keep it. Then resale doesn't matter, and you have the watch you actually want. 

Yeah I'd totally be good with buying a pre owned watch, and obviously not looking to make big money off a watch (since Rolex, AP and Patek are all out of my price range). I do love the BB58 and the fact its kinda slimmed down and more compact but the uncertainty of the value does concern me. Thanks for the comment :)

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LiviusSalinator

What's wrong with a casio F-91W? ;) jks

God Tier

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nunoaugusto

I bought the Omega Seamaster Aquaterra (220.10.41.21.03.001) and I am super satisfied. It is an excellent watch.

I love the Aqua Terra dials and on the rubber strap I think it is the perfect "do it all" watch. My only concern with Seamasters is that I don't think the styling will look that good in 10 years. Again just my opinion I love Omega as a brand and the product is phenomenal but I do think particularly the 300 Professionals from the 90s look a bit tacky now. Thanks for the comment :)

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JaroWinti

The question is if you want to invest (later sell) or keep it and sell only by an emergency. 

If you want to invest and later sell at this very moment the Rolex seems to hold the value even if bought used. If you are lucky you can find some used Rolex which can later gain the value. In this case you have to ad some more money to your budget.

If you want to buy a watch you want to keep, just chose what you like best - you will be wearing the watch😜 And as unseenhero wrote buy something used (e.g. with papers and fresh service) what already depreciated. 

From my experience a used watch (from your list) which hold its value is Omega Speedmaster Moon Watch. Cartier not - I saw some Cartier which people bought for 6'500 and selling for 2'500 but depends on the model. 

The Santos for me would be the perfect watch, classy, timeless and the large version fits me perfectly. I have been looking for some that are lower than retail which has proved a bit difficult. The Omega as well would be a great choice, very versatile and the price increase is pretty steady. 

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theodore

The pricing and valuation of wristwatches is not so very different from cars...They begin to depreciate the moment you walk out of the boutique where you bought it.

It is only with certain models, from certain brands, (sorry to say, usually the most famous ones) that a watch becomes more valuable over the course of time....If you bought the 1st Ford Mustang, and only drove it on Sundays and kept it pristine with all its paperwork, you would have earned a pretty penny today. If you did the same with the wrong model Volkswagen, you would have lost money.

Even with PP, AP or Rolex, not every watch gains in value over time, some even lose value fast...

It's pretty selective with cars tbh cause there are some cult classics that have shown to have renewed value, anything that was prominent in Fast and Furious comes to mind Supra, RX7 etc. Coming back to watches it is frustrating, even with Tudor cause one or two boutiques told me to get lost for even asking about it. I love all the watches I mentioned and would be pretty satisfied with any one of them, what I'm really trying to find is something that will stay popular and not just crash once the hype has died, which as some people have said is plausible. Thanks for the comment though enjoyed reading it :)

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unseenhero

Best way to lose the lowest amount is to buy it used (assuming it's not a Rolex?). I believe right now Breitling watches have the worst resale value of those watches you mentioned. This means buying a used one would have already lost most of it's value, therefore minimizing the amount you would lose on it.

EDIT:

$3345: https://www.rolexforums.com/showthread.php?t=831915

$5650: https://www.breitling.com/us-en/watches/avenger/avenger-chronograph-43/A13385101B1/

I'm hopeful for Breitling as they seemed to do quite well last year but for now I am inclined to agree a retail Breitling is just money down the pan. I love the heritage (particularly the Navitimer) and know people who own Breitlings, but upwards of 4k for ETA movements I dont think is a ton of value. I have considered some neo vintage Rolex (90s-00s) and have found some reasonable deals, my worry would be the demand as some that I have found seem too good to be true. I will take it into account thanks for the advice :)