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Minase in Europe
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This is the way. If you really like it, wait for the hype to die down and get it at a discount later. If you don't really want it later, then you made the right decision anyway.
FXD only makes sense if you are not looking for versatility and only want to wear a watch on a NATO. To me it makes no sense for 99.9% of people.
Tank Louis is a pretty clear winner imo, but it is just really pricey. The Must is a great, more accessible alternative for most of us.
I really like this one. It's a great visual substitute for the Patek 5212A, which I have my eye on but could never justify on price.
I just wish the date was at the six o'clock instead of twelve, but that's just personal preference.
Very reasonable and fair take. I largely agree with it. It's a decent time to be a buyer, especially pre-owned. New prices are still wildly inflated. Some brands have overextended on price, Swatch Group to am absurd degree (AD discounts demonstrate this perfectly), likely JLC, and others. You should not buy a single watch at retail outside of Rolex and much cheaper watches that don't typically offer discounts. You shouldn't be paying over retail for anything outside of the most absolute desirable models or brand new releases. That white dialed Speedmaster will be available under retail in a year. Same for that new Tudor GMT.
Watches are not a commodity and I wouldn't extraolate expectations elsewhere on to them.
That said, keep an eye out on the Chinese economy. Signs are starting to point to a return to strong economic growth. Energy/fuel demand (my field) is growing quickly, manufacturing and exports are up massively. It looks like the real estate slowdown may be pretty limited in scope. The US economy is also really strong at the moment, and Japan looks pretty healthy (though their buying power is weak at current exchange rates). Europe is stuck running in place, but it won't matter if the US and China are running at full speed.
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